The Unemployment Rate Is Not The Whole Story

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In the years since the Great Recession, Florida’s economy has grown at a steady rate. The state’s annual unemployment rate (which measures the number of people not employed, but actively seeking employment as a percentage of the labor force) was 5.4 percent in 2015, great news for Florida’s job market considering the state’s unemployment rate was more than double that at 11.1 percent just five years ago. While unemployment figures are used by the media and politicians across the nation to paint a picture of the job market, the figures can be somewhat misleading when used without the proper context.

One key metric that is widely overlooked in the discussion is the labor force participation rate (LFPR), which measures the percentage of the total population aged 16 and above who are currently employed or are unemployed and actively seeking employment. While overlooked, the LFPR is one of the most important metrics to understanding the overall landscape of the job markets.

To give an example of the overall importance of the LFPR, one can examine its change from 2010 to 2015. As previously stated, the unemployment rate dropped by more than 50 percent during this timespan.

On the surface, many would believe the drop in unemployment was due to the fact that more jobs were created and individuals were able to get back to work, and to some degree that is true; however, a look at the LFPR also sheds some light on the story. While unemployment was dropping over that timespan, so was the labor force participation rate. From 2010 to 2015, the LFPR dropped from 61.6 percent to 59.3 percent, the lowest rate since 1983. While the rate dropped, this does not mean that the number of individuals participating in the work force dropped (it actually rose by roughly 460,000), but that it was not able to keep pace with the growth in population (which grew by approximately 1.35 million people).

The Author

Kyle Baltuch, M.S., Economist. Kyle earned a Master’s degree in Applied Economics from Florida State University and was the Neil S. Crispo Fellow at Florida TaxWatch prior to coming on as an Economist.

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Media Inquiries:
Contact Leah Courtney by Email
or Phone: 850.212.5052